Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 13.812600 15.515066 17.361862 19.516693 21.965274 24.664981 27.872377
2025-04-06 11.065690 13.276377 15.850844 19.080469 23.037809 27.746633 33.800825
2025-04-13 9.129977 11.605684 14.674919 18.782298 24.169295 31.040660 40.543943
2025-04-20 7.956497 10.665961 14.224887 19.283902 26.358473 36.000404 50.307727
2025-04-27 7.045571 9.917057 13.895393 19.877695 28.763450 41.660113 62.135608
2025-05-04 6.210612 9.138757 13.398273 20.144437 30.743312 47.062726 74.690674
2025-05-11 5.371289 8.224938 12.562448 19.763573 31.673902 51.041155 85.853568
2025-05-18 4.699704 7.465694 11.844294 19.440064 32.624414 55.200088 98.171966
2025-05-25 4.152101 6.823782 11.215745 19.154277 33.574620 59.507770 111.655179
2025-06-01 3.717288 6.306691 10.717032 19.004686 34.725305 64.358183 127.194783
2025-06-08 3.362438 5.877764 10.307531 18.944272 36.018295 69.690503 144.864617
2025-06-15 3.159011 5.688795 10.295086 19.614555 38.823619 78.488613 171.843706
2025-06-22 2.885961 5.345287 9.967213 19.654493 40.438358 85.305737 196.485314
2025-06-29 2.591766 4.925014 9.438679 19.211293 40.970039 89.925699 217.241109
2025-07-06 2.350873 4.578434 9.009206 18.908328 41.757499 95.289256 241.297097
2025-07-13 2.216227 4.427841 8.956243 19.411684 44.478386 105.778046 281.699893
2025-07-20 2.102311 4.305485 8.945472 20.008337 47.539017 117.780038 329.853160
2025-07-27 1.972024 4.132262 8.802367 20.275943 49.845337 128.368649 377.174884
2025-08-03 1.806535 3.862841 8.412350 19.891644 50.415284 134.441273 412.579585
2025-08-10 1.663010 3.625883 8.066774 19.565336 51.085311 140.963694 451.575691
2025-08-17 1.536894 3.414335 7.754492 19.277178 51.813224 147.840812 494.097239
2025-08-24 1.431646 3.239583 7.508625 19.126280 52.908993 156.100377 544.390536
2025-08-31 1.341411 3.090495 7.307263 19.065255 54.263544 165.509741 602.335585